Reports:
Affordable mass transit - guidance
1: Introduction
What is mass transit?
1.1 For the purposes of this guidance mass
transit is defined as an urban public transport
system which provides a 'turn-up and go'
service. This requires a maximum headway
between vehicles of 10 to 15 minutes or
a minimum frequency of 4-6 services per
hour over core sections of route, providing a
minimum capacity per direction of typically
300 passengers per hour (pph) for bus based
systems and 800 pph for rail based systems.
In addition it is assumed that mass transit
systems as addressed by this guidance will
enjoy a degree of segregation from, and/or
priority over, general traffic movements,
unless these can be controlled effectively
through measures such as road user charging.
The process detailed in this guidance is
intended to address all potential mass transit
technologies that are capable of providing the
above levels of service. The focus of the detail
of this guidance (in terms of the information
supplied) is upon those technologies that
are most likely to provide realistic, practical
and affordable solutions in the UK context.
These are defined as bus based and light rail
systems, as detailed in section 2.
What is 'affordable'?
Affordability for a mass transit system is not a
simple concept. Affordability for the purposes
of this guidance relates to the funding of the
delivery and operation of the system, including
any requirement for ongoing revenue support.
Affordability will depend upon the parties
involved in system promotion and funding,
the objectives for the system, the capital cost,
private sector contributions, the financial
operating performance, the benefits delivered
by the system and the timescales for system
implementation. For the purposes of this
guidance, the principal components of the
assessment of 'affordability' of a particular
technology option are:
- the capital cost;
- the degree to which operating costs are
covered by revenues and any subsidy
requirement; and
- the user and non-user benefits delivered
by the system.
1.3 These components will drive three key decision
areas:
- is there sufficient funding available to pay
for the capital cost? This question may
be addressed at one, or more, of a local,
regional or national level (depending
upon the context). The assessment of this
question will also depend upon the funding
arrangements and funding bodies. Where
private sector funding is to be sought, will
the overall funding arrangements provide
appropriate levels of risk for private sector
investment and have the costs of private sector
finance been fully included?;
- does the technology option have a positive
operating margin? - i.e. can the service
be sustained from passenger fares or
other available revenue flows (operating
costs should include any requirements for
refurbishment or renewal of system assets such
as vehicles or fixed infrastructure). If not, can
the subsidy be sustained? A long-term subsidy
requirement may lead to the rejection of an
option given constraints upon public finances.
However, short/medium term subsidy may well
be acceptable where (for example) a system
is being promoted for economic regeneration
or to 'pump prime' new development though
early provision of non-car travel options; and
- does the technology option represent
good value for money? This will require an
assessment of the relationship between system
costs and the benefits delivered by the system.
Value for money will not be an absolute
measure, but is likely to be determined
through comparison with alternative transport
projects to enable prioritisation of spending.
This may be achieved by determining a unit
cost per benefit delivered (for example per unit
of mode shift). This comparison may again
take place at a local, regional or national
level depending upon the scale and nature of
the project.
What is the guidance for?
1.4 This guidance document is designed to help
promoters of mass transit systems select the
most suitable, affordable and cost effective
technology to meet their needs. The guidance
should also assist those responsible for
funding and delivery such as the Department
for Transport (DfT), Scottish Executive,
financial institutions and PFI contractors. The
guidance is non-statutory and should be
used as a resource to complement existing
information.
1.5 The guidance is intended to steer the
development of affordable and cost effective
mass transit systems, improve the record of
system delivery and ensure that delivered
systems achieve their forecast performance.
The guidance seeks to:
- provide an overall structure for the decision
making process;
- indicate the nature of the decisions that
should be made;
- indicate the information required to support
the decision making processes;
- identify and detail information sources
together with advice regarding areas where
information is currently unavailable; and
- ensure that the best decisions are made
leading to the application of the right
technologies in the right places.
Guidance philosophy
1.6 The guidance is focused upon the UK context
in terms of both the recommended process
and the information provided to support that
process. The process itself is closely linked
to existing guidance in the UK and thus
the UK transport context. Whilst overseas
experience offers a potentially useful source of
information, this is rarely directly transferable
to the UK for a number of reasons, including:
- urban population densities (particularly in
Continental Europe) tend to be much higher,
therefore favouring high-capacity modes;
- in many locations urban transport operates
in an entirely different planning, development
and operational environment; and
- local taxation is frequently used to support
urban transport capital and operating costs.
1.7 The guidance presumes that the overall need
for a mass transit system has already been
established through higher level planning
processes such as the Regional Transport
Strategy (RTS) and/or Local Transport Plan
(LTP). This will ensure that the role of the
mass transit system, as part of an integrated
transport and land-use strategy, complements
and is complemented by other components of
the strategy. Thus the overall objectives for the
system, i.e. those flowing from the RTS and/or
the LTP can be readily identified.
1.8 The guidance has been designed to avoid
prescription. The context and criteria relating
to a particular transport problem are typically
unique and results from one situation are
rarely directly applicable to another. Thus the
guidance has a degree of flexibility inherent in
its approach that enables the decision making
framework to reflect the circumstances relating
to a particular situation, whilst ensuring that
there is a high degree of consistency in the
decision making process across different
locations.
1.9 The guidance is inclusive; it encourages the
consideration of all potential mass transit
technology options. Thus it extends from
conventional bus based systems through to
light rail and metro systems and alternative
uses of heavy rail infrastructure. Whilst the
focus is upon those technologies already in
use in the UK context, it can also include
consideration of new types of system and new
technologies. It also encourages strategic
thinking as to the geographic area(s) to
be addressed and the manner and timing
of implementation.
Why do we need this guidance?
1.10 The need for guidance has arisen from:
- central Government transport objectives[1] and
(DfT) Public Service Agreements[2] which require
the provision of high quality public transport,
offered as a positive choice alongside the
private car;
- recognition that the current rate of system
delivery is insufficient to deliver Government
objectives;
- concerns regarding the affordability, cost-effectiveness
and appropriateness of a number
of schemes that have been promoted in recent
years; and
- below forecast performance of a number
of LRT systems, leading to lack of delivery
of forecast benefits (as assessed by the
DfT's appraisal process for major transport
schemes) and requirement for ongoing
revenue support as a result of operating costs
exceeding revenues.
1.11 An important part of the Government's
transport policy is the reduction in reliance
upon the private car through provision of
improved mass transit (public transport)
facilities. This will assist the delivery of a
number of wider objectives including:
- enhancing the economy through reduction of
travel costs by reducing road congestion due
to car traffic;
- enabling increased travel (and thus economic
development etc.) without increasing car traffic;
- improving accessibility, especially for non car
users;
- improving air quality and reducing
greenhouse gases; and
- improving safety.
1.12 However, encouragement of mode shift and
consequent reduction in car use will only be
achieved through:
- provision of mass transit services of sufficient
quality to attract users from the private car;
and/or
- demand management measures, such as
reallocation of highway capacity, parking
controls and road user charging.
1.13 Thus, much of the emerging regional
and local transport policy is based upon
a combination of these elements and the
provision of high quality mass transit is a
high profile component of many transport
strategies. However, there may be other
objectives driving the promotion of a mass
transit system. The most significant of these
are likely to relate to land use, where the
primary objective for a system may be to
regenerate areas of economic decline or
to provide access to facilitate new land use
development.
1.14 Recent major public transport investment
in urban areas has tended to concentrate
upon light rail systems. However, the current
rate of major mass transit scheme delivery is
insufficient to meet the aspirations previously
set by Government.
The Transport Ten Year Plan 2000 (DETR,
2000) envisaged by 2010 'the delivery of up
to 25 new rapid transit lines in major cities
and conurbations, more than doubling light
rail use'. Only 7 urban areas are served by
such systems at present and it is highly unlikely
that the total of 25 lines will be achieved in
the next 5 years.
This position would appear to be confirmed
by the findings of the National Audit Office
(NAO), which undertook a study of light rail systems implemented in the UK[3], and made comparison against experience from overseas.
Whilst most systems delivered the anticipated
services (in terms of routes, frequencies etc.),
there is a significant trend for patronage
levels to be lower than forecast. This in turn
has reduced the benefits delivered by these
systems, reduced the financial case and in
some cases has led to the need for ongoing
financial subsidy.
At the same time, a report by DfT 'The Future
of Transport, A Network for 2030' (2004)
emphasised that bus based options
are likely to provide the most costeffective
mass transit solution for
'most corridors'. The report continues
to note that 'Buses are flexible too
- they can be deployed quickly in
response to changing demand. And
unlike rail or metro systems, buses do
not require substantial infrastructure
so can rapidly boost the supply of
public transport'. Despite the findings
of these reports, there has been little
evidence of increased emphasis upon
such bus based systems.
1.17 Thus, an important function of this guidance
is to ensure that the information and advice
on the appraisal of future systems includes
consideration of the full range of affordable
mass transit technology options in an
equitable manner.
Who is the guidance for?
1.18 The guidance will be used by a range of
audiences including:
- political decision makers, typically responsible
for high level policy decisions, local transport
policy and scheme development. These
are most likely to be elected members of
local authorities with responsibility for local
transport, including passenger transport
authorities and county, metropolitan district
and unitary councils;
- officers of promoting local authorities (as
noted above) responsible for production of
technical information, providing advice to the
political level and undertaking more detailed
decision making;
- organisations working on behalf of promoting
authorities (typically transport and engineering
consultancy companies);
- transport operators who will have
responsibility for the operation of mass transit
systems and who may also be investors in
such systems;
- potential investors in mass transit systems.
These may include the public and private
sectors and parties not directly involved in
system promotion (such as financial institutions
and PFI contractors); and
- organisations working on behalf of funding
or investing bodies. These organisations
will typically be consultancies undertaking
independent audits to determine the
robustness of the project.
The primary users of this guidance
will typically be public authorities with
responsibility for transport in major urban
areas, such as County, City, Regional
and Unitary councils, Passenger Transport
Authorities and TfL. These organisations,
and those working on their behalf (such
as consultancy companies), should be
responsible for ensuring that the processes
identified in this guidance are adopted for
the promotion of any mass transit system
proposals.
The secondary users of this guidance will
be those organisations associated with , but
not directly responsible for, the promotion of
mass transit schemes. This will include those
providing public sector finance (such as DfT),
private sector financial organisations, PFI
contractors and public transport operators.
As noted above, many of these organisations
will employ consultants to undertake audits
and reviews of the work undertaken by the
promoting authority. This guidance is intended
to assist such organisations to determine
whether the work undertaken by the promoting
authority is robust and in accordance with best
practice and whether the proposed scheme
represents a sound investment.
How does it fit with existing guidance
1.21 The guidance is designed to complement
existing advice on the production of Local
Transport Plans (LTPs) in particular the suite
of major scheme appraisal documents. This
guidance seeks to:
- put greater emphasis on strategic comparison
of alternative technology options;
- provide information and advice regarding the
application of existing guidance; and
- ensure that monitoring and review is carried
out during the latter stages of the scheme
development process.
Structure of the document
1.22 The remainder of the guidance covers the
following areas:
- Section 2: Phase 1 - Strategic Assessment;
- Section 3: Phase 2 - Scheme Development and Appraisal;
- Section 4: Phase 3 - Scheme Refinement and Monitoring; and
- Section 5: Data.
1: As set out in 'A New Deal for Transport: Better for Everyone' (1998).
2: As set out in Annex B of 'The Future of Transport, A Network for 2030' (DfT 2004).
3: WebTAG Units 1.4/3.9.
4: 'Improving public transport in England through light rail' (NAO, 2004).
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